Adelaide United vs Brisbane Roar Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Adelaide United v Brisbane Roar — Team-Based Signals
Adelaide United vs Brisbane Roar Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-0
Brisbane Roar
AVUS
2-1
HT 1-1
Brisbane Roar
AVUS
1-1
HT 0-0
Adelaide United
AVUS
1-2
HT 1-2
Brisbane Roar
AVUK
Adelaide United 1-1 Brisbane Roar — Actual Match Statistics
Adelaide United and Brisbane Roar couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Adelaide United at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (56%) landed while over 2.5 goals (57%) missed.
On the day, Adelaide United had 59% of the ball to Brisbane Roar's 41%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 0.76 to 0.51.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Adelaide United had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Adelaide United and 1.83 for Brisbane Roar.
What was the final score of Adelaide United vs Brisbane Roar?
Adelaide United 1-1 Brisbane Roar in the Australia - A-League on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Adelaide United vs Brisbane Roar?
Before kick-off our model rated a Adelaide United win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Adelaide United 47%, draw 25%, Brisbane Roar 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Adelaide United), Over 2.5 went the other way.