Western United vs Wellington Phoenix Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Western United v Wellington Phoenix — Team-Based Signals
Western United vs Wellington Phoenix Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Wellington Phoenix
AVUS
0-3
HT 0-1
Wellington Phoenix
AVUS
2-3
HT 1-0
Western United
AVUS
1-0
HT 1-0
Wellington Phoenix
AVUS
Western United 4-1 Wellington Phoenix — Actual Match Statistics
Western United cruised past Wellington Phoenix 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Western United as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Western United had 48% of the ball to Wellington Phoenix's 52%, shots finished 21-11, expected goals 2.89 to 0.48.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wellington Phoenix led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Western United and 1.50 for Wellington Phoenix.
What was the final score of Western United vs Wellington Phoenix?
Western United 4-1 Wellington Phoenix in the Australia - A-League on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Western United vs Wellington Phoenix?
Before kick-off our model rated a Western United win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Western United 47%, draw 24%, Wellington Phoenix 29%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Western United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.