Bijelo Brdo 1-2 Radnik Sesvete — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.HNL, 8 Mar 2025

📅08/03/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.05
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
28%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
1.52
Over 2.5
30%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.13
No
63%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
20%
2/1
3%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
45%
-1.9pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.1pp
28%
Away Win
25%
+3.0pp
70%
Under 2.5
62%
+8.5pp
30%
Over 2.5
38%
-8.5pp
37%
BTTS Yes
43%
-5.7pp
63%
BTTS No
57%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bijelo Brdo EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Radnik Sesvete EU Bookmakers 29%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
0.97/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/0.76
-29% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +73%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
277 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bijelo Brdo
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Radnik Sesvete
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
11.10.2024 Radnik Sesvete Radnik Sesvete 1-3 HT 0-1 Bijelo Brdo Bijelo Brdo HIR2
28.03.2024 Bijelo Brdo Bijelo Brdo 2-1 HT 0-1 Radnik Sesvete Radnik Sesvete HIR2
16.03.2024 Bijelo Brdo Bijelo Brdo 2-0 HT 0-0 Radnik Sesvete Radnik Sesvete HIR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bijelo Brdo
1-2
AWAY Radnik Sesvete
48% Ball Possession 52%
6 Total Shots 5
1 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Bijelo Brdo vs Radnik Sesvete
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Radnik Sesvete squeezed past Bijelo Brdo 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Bijelo Brdo at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (70%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Bijelo Brdo had 48% of the ball to Radnik Sesvete's 52%, shots finished 6-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Bijelo Brdo had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Bijelo Brdo and 0.67 for Radnik Sesvete.

What was the final score of Bijelo Brdo vs Radnik Sesvete?

Bijelo Brdo 1-2 Radnik Sesvete in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bijelo Brdo vs Radnik Sesvete?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bijelo Brdo win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Bijelo Brdo 43%, draw 29%, Radnik Sesvete 28%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Bijelo Brdo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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