Vukovar 4-0 Croatia Zmijavci — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.HNL, 8 Mar 2025

📅08/03/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.42
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
15%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.6
Over 2.5
48%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.67
No
58%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
28%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
66%
-6.0pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.5pp
15%
Away Win
11%
+4.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
59%
-7.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
41%
+7.0pp
42%
BTTS Yes
33%
+9.0pp
58%
BTTS No
67%
-9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vukovar EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Croatia Zmijavci EU Bookmakers 14%
-13% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.60/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.59/1.82
-6% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / -10%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
323 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vukovar
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Croatia Zmijavci
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
13.10.2024 Croatia Zmijavci Croatia Zmijavci 1-0 Vukovar Vukovar HIR2
23.03.2024 Vukovar Vukovar 2-0 HT 1-0 Croatia Zmijavci Croatia Zmijavci HIR2
18.02.2024 Vukovar Vukovar 1-1 HT 0-1 Croatia Zmijavci Croatia Zmijavci HIR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vukovar
4-0
AWAY Croatia Zmijavci
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 6
11 Shots on Target 0
3 Corners 0
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Vukovar vs Croatia Zmijavci
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vukovar swept aside Croatia Zmijavci 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Vukovar as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Vukovar had 59% of the ball to Croatia Zmijavci's 41%, shots finished 16-6.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Vukovar and 0.67 for Croatia Zmijavci.

What was the final score of Vukovar vs Croatia Zmijavci?

Vukovar 4-0 Croatia Zmijavci in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vukovar vs Croatia Zmijavci?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vukovar win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Vukovar 60%, draw 25%, Croatia Zmijavci 15%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vukovar), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Vukovar) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HIR2 More Croatia - 2.HNL
8 Mar 2025
14:50 Jarun vs Orijent 1919 Analysis →
17:30 Bijelo Brdo vs Radnik Sesvete Analysis →
17:30 Dubrava Zagreb vs HNK Cibalia Analysis →