Fortuna Sittard vs Heracles Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Fortuna Sittard v Heracles — Team-Based Signals
Fortuna Sittard vs Heracles Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-1
HT 4-0
Heracles
HOL
0-2
HT 0-0
Heracles
HOL
3-1
HT 2-1
Fortuna Sittard
HOL
0-1
HT 0-1
Heracles
HOL
Fortuna Sittard 1-0 Heracles — Actual Match Statistics
Fortuna Sittard squeezed past Heracles 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Fortuna Sittard as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Fortuna Sittard had 47% of the ball to Heracles's 53%, shots finished 12-5, expected goals 2.52 to 0.19 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Fortuna Sittard's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Heracles led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Fortuna Sittard and 1.50 for Heracles.
What was the final score of Fortuna Sittard vs Heracles?
Fortuna Sittard 1-0 Heracles in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Fortuna Sittard vs Heracles?
Before kick-off our model rated a Fortuna Sittard win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Fortuna Sittard 43%, draw 26%, Heracles 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fortuna Sittard), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.