FA Siauliai 2-2 FK Dainava Alytus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 8 Mar 2025

📅08/03/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.86
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
29%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.52
Over 2.5
40%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.16
No
56%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
20%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
50%
-8.2pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.8pp
29%
Away Win
23%
+6.4pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.8pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.8pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FA Siauliai EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Dainava Alytus EU Bookmakers 26%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +36% / +36%
0.73/1.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/0.28
-38% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +150%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
334 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FA Siauliai
2W-3D-1L
AWAY FK Dainava Alytus
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.11.2024 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus 3-2 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LITA
18.08.2024 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 0-0 HT 0-0 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus LITA
18.06.2024 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus 2-2 HT 1-0 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LIT1
20.04.2024 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 1-0 HT 0-0 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus LIT1
08.10.2023 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 0-0 HT 0-0 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus LIT1
28.07.2023 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus 1-2 HT 0-0 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LITA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FA Siauliai
2-2
AWAY FK Dainava Alytus
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH FA Siauliai vs FK Dainava Alytus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FA Siauliai and FK Dainava Alytus shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was FA Siauliai at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FA Siauliai had 61% of the ball to FK Dainava Alytus's 39%, shots finished 14-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FA Siauliai had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for FA Siauliai and 1.00 for FK Dainava Alytus.

What was the final score of FA Siauliai vs FK Dainava Alytus?

FA Siauliai 2-2 FK Dainava Alytus in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FA Siauliai vs FK Dainava Alytus?

Before kick-off our model rated a FA Siauliai win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split FA Siauliai 42%, draw 29%, FK Dainava Alytus 29%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (FA Siauliai) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
LITA More Lithuania - 1st Division
8 Mar 2025
18:00 Kauno Zalgiris vs Dziugas Telsiai Analysis →