Kauno Zalgiris 1-2 Dziugas Telsiai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 8 Mar 2025

📅08/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.42
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
22%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.95
Over 2.5
41%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.06
No
61%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
67%
-12.1pp
23%
Draw
21%
+2.2pp
22%
Away Win
12%
+9.9pp
59%
Under 2.5
48%
+11.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
52%
-11.1pp
39%
BTTS Yes
44%
-5.1pp
61%
BTTS No
56%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kauno Zalgiris EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Dziugas Telsiai EU Bookmakers 15%
-31% / -31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
0.66/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.54/1.01
-62% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +112%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
385 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kauno Zalgiris
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Dziugas Telsiai
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
27.10.2024 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 0-1 HT 0-0 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai LITA
04.08.2024 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai 2-3 HT 1-1 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LITA
02.06.2024 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai 0-1 HT 0-0 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LIT1
10.04.2024 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 3-0 HT 0-0 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai LIT1
21.10.2023 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai 0-2 HT 0-1 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LIT1
06.08.2023 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 0-0 HT 0-0 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai LIT1
POST-MATCH Kauno Zalgiris vs Dziugas Telsiai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dziugas Telsiai edged past Kauno Zalgiris 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Kauno Zalgiris at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kauno Zalgiris had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Kauno Zalgiris and 0.50 for Dziugas Telsiai.

What was the final score of Kauno Zalgiris vs Dziugas Telsiai?

Kauno Zalgiris 1-2 Dziugas Telsiai in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kauno Zalgiris vs Dziugas Telsiai?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kauno Zalgiris win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Kauno Zalgiris 54%, draw 23%, Dziugas Telsiai 22%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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