Bangkok United vs Chiangrai United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bangkok United v Chiangrai United — Team-Based Signals
Bangkok United vs Chiangrai United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 0-1
Chiangrai United
TAY
1-2
HT 1-0
Bangkok United
TAY
4-2
HT 1-1
Chiangrai United
TAY
3-0
HT 1-0
Chiangrai United
TAY
Bangkok United 3-2 Chiangrai United — Actual Match Statistics
Bangkok United squeezed past Chiangrai United 3-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Bangkok United as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Bangkok United had 63% of the ball to Chiangrai United's 37%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 1.66 to 0.68.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bangkok United had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Bangkok United and 0.83 for Chiangrai United.
What was the final score of Bangkok United vs Chiangrai United?
Bangkok United 3-2 Chiangrai United in the Thailand - 1st Division on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bangkok United vs Chiangrai United?
Before kick-off our model rated a Bangkok United win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Bangkok United 60%, draw 25%, Chiangrai United 15%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bangkok United) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.