Rayong FC 2-1 Sukhothai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 8 Mar 2025

📅08/03/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.92
Draw
30%
3.54
Away
27%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.23
Over 2.5
51%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.53
No
42%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
48%
-4.7pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.7pp
27%
Away Win
27%
+0.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.8pp
58%
BTTS Yes
61%
-3.3pp
42%
BTTS No
39%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rayong FC EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Sukhothai EU Bookmakers 31%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -19%
1.67/0.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.70
+18% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / -23%
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
310 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 77%
23.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.5
20.0 Crosses 17.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rayong FC
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Sukhothai
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.57 xG 1.68
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 11
5 Corners 6
333 Passes 198
80% Pass Accuracy 73%
20 Box Touches 19
33 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.10.2024 Sukhothai Sukhothai 3-1 HT 1-0 Rayong FC TAY
08.04.2022 Sukhothai Sukhothai 2-1 HT 0-0 Rayong FC TAY1
21.11.2021 Rayong FC 1-2 HT 0-1 Sukhothai Sukhothai TAY1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rayong FC
2-1
AWAY Sukhothai
1.36 xG 0.81
47% Ball Possession 53%
17 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
180 Passes 225
73% Pass Accuracy 72%
21 Box Touches 14
23 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Rayong FC vs Sukhothai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rayong FC edged past Sukhothai 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Rayong FC as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Rayong FC had 47% of the ball to Sukhothai's 53%, shots finished 17-7, expected goals 1.36 to 0.81.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Sukhothai led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Rayong FC and 2.33 for Sukhothai.

What was the final score of Rayong FC vs Sukhothai?

Rayong FC 2-1 Sukhothai in the Thailand - 1st Division on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rayong FC vs Sukhothai?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rayong FC win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Rayong FC 43%, draw 29%, Sukhothai 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rayong FC), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rayong FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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