Varbergs 2-0 IF Karlstad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Cup, 8 Mar 2026

📅08/03/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.49
Draw
17%
4.08
Away
22%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.18
Over 2.5
53%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
4.03
2-3 Goals
33%
1.8
4-5 Goals
25%
2.83
6+ Goals
11%
8.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
25%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
63%
-1.8pp
17%
Draw
21%
-3.6pp
22%
Away Win
16%
+5.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
42%
+5.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
58%
-5.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.6pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Varbergs EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY IF Karlstad EU Bookmakers 20%
-28% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-54% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
341 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Varbergs
2-0
AWAY IF Karlstad
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Varbergs vs IF Karlstad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Varbergs beat IF Karlstad 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Varbergs as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Varbergs had 50% of the ball to IF Karlstad's 50%, shots finished 16-8.

What was the final score of Varbergs vs IF Karlstad?

Varbergs 2-0 IF Karlstad in the Sweden - Cup on 08/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Varbergs vs IF Karlstad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Varbergs win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Varbergs 61%, draw 17%, IF Karlstad 22%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Varbergs) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Varbergs) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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