Elfsborg 1-2 IK Sirius — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Cup, 8 Mar 2026

📅08/03/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.38
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
35%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.23
Over 2.5
57%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.49
No
43%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.29
2-3 Goals
36%
1.84
4-5 Goals
28%
2.74
6+ Goals
13%
7.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
38%
+3.2pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.0pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-1.2pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.6pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
63%
-6.2pp
43%
BTTS No
37%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Elfsborg EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY IK Sirius EU Bookmakers 40%
-48% / -48% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -24%
0.06/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/2.41
-97% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -35%
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
300 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 404 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Elfsborg
4W-0D-2L
AWAY IK Sirius
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.93 xG 1.44
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
325 Passes 424
82% Pass Accuracy 85%
28 Box Touches 25
21 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.10.2025 IK Sirius IK Sirius 4-0 HT 2-0 Elfsborg Elfsborg İSÇ
23.04.2025 Elfsborg Elfsborg 4-3 HT 2-1 IK Sirius IK Sirius İSÇ
06.10.2024 IK Sirius IK Sirius 4-1 HT 1-1 Elfsborg Elfsborg İSÇ
29.04.2024 Elfsborg Elfsborg 2-0 HT 1-0 IK Sirius IK Sirius İSÇ
06.08.2023 Elfsborg Elfsborg 1-0 HT 0-0 IK Sirius IK Sirius İSÇ
08.05.2023 IK Sirius IK Sirius 3-4 HT 2-1 Elfsborg Elfsborg İSÇ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Elfsborg
1-2
AWAY IK Sirius
49% Ball Possession 51%
7 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Elfsborg vs IK Sirius
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IK Sirius nicked a narrow win over Elfsborg 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Elfsborg at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Elfsborg had 49% of the ball to IK Sirius's 51%, shots finished 7-4.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Elfsborg had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Elfsborg and 2.33 for IK Sirius.

What was the final score of Elfsborg vs IK Sirius?

Elfsborg 1-2 IK Sirius in the Sweden - Cup on 08/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Elfsborg vs IK Sirius?

Before kick-off our model rated a Elfsborg win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Elfsborg 41%, draw 24%, IK Sirius 35%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Elfsborg) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Elfsborg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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