Göteborg 3-1 Degerfors — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Cup, 8 Mar 2026

📅08/03/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.8
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
23%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.1
Over 2.5
49%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.63
No
48%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.79
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
2.93
6+ Goals
10%
9.28
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.79 — our 28% vs market 19.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
7%
2/1
11%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
52%
+2.1pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.4pp
23%
Away Win
24%
-0.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
57%
-5.4pp
48%
BTTS No
43%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Göteborg EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Degerfors EU Bookmakers 27%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +27% / +27%
1.89/1.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.37/1.68
+11% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +83% / +0%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
375 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Göteborg
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Degerfors
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.82 xG 1.29
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
366 Passes 333
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
28 Box Touches 22
23 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
04.08.2025 Göteborg Göteborg 3-0 HT 2-0 Degerfors Degerfors İSÇ
19.05.2025 Degerfors Degerfors 1-3 HT 0-3 Göteborg Göteborg İSÇ
19.08.2023 Degerfors Degerfors 1-2 HT 0-0 Göteborg Göteborg İSÇ
04.05.2023 Göteborg Göteborg 6-0 HT 3-0 Degerfors Degerfors İSÇ
20.10.2022 Degerfors Degerfors 3-1 HT 0-1 Göteborg Göteborg İSÇ
04.07.2022 Göteborg Göteborg 2-0 HT 2-0 Degerfors Degerfors İSÇ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Göteborg
3-1
AWAY Degerfors
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Göteborg vs Degerfors
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Göteborg got the better of Degerfors 3-1. Half-time: 3-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Göteborg as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Göteborg had 44% of the ball to Degerfors's 56%, shots finished 10-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Göteborg had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Göteborg and 0.83 for Degerfors.

What was the final score of Göteborg vs Degerfors?

Göteborg 3-1 Degerfors in the Sweden - Cup on 08/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Göteborg vs Degerfors?

Before kick-off our model rated a Göteborg win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Göteborg 54%, draw 23%, Degerfors 23%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Göteborg), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Göteborg) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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