Malmö FF 2-1 Halmstad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Cup, 8 Mar 2026

📅08/03/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.45
Draw
22%
4.19
Away
15%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.1
Over 2.5
48%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.75
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
2.94
6+ Goals
11%
9.41
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.75 — our 28% vs market 20.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
65%
-1.4pp
22%
Draw
21%
+1.0pp
15%
Away Win
15%
+0.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.7pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Malmö FF EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Halmstad EU Bookmakers 18%
+5% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
2.00/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.62/1.85
-8% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / +9%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
460 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Malmö FF
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Halmstad
3.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
2.50 xG 0.88
72% Ball Possession 29%
19 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
651 Passes 214
90% Pass Accuracy 73%
37 Box Touches 15
20 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
16.08.2025 Halmstad Halmstad 0-4 HT 0-3 Malmö FF Malmö FF İSÇ
18.05.2025 Malmö FF Malmö FF 3-0 HT 2-0 Halmstad Halmstad İSÇ
10.08.2024 Halmstad Halmstad 0-1 HT 0-1 Malmö FF Malmö FF İSÇ
07.07.2024 Malmö FF Malmö FF 5-1 HT 2-1 Halmstad Halmstad İSÇ
16.03.2024 Halmstad Halmstad 0-4 HT 0-0 Malmö FF Malmö FF İSÇK
07.08.2023 Malmö FF Malmö FF 3-0 HT 1-0 Halmstad Halmstad İSÇ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Malmö FF
2-1
AWAY Halmstad
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Malmö FF vs Halmstad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Malmö FF edged past Halmstad 2-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Malmö FF as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Malmö FF had 52% of the ball to Halmstad's 48%, shots finished 17-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Malmö FF had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 3.33 goals for Malmö FF and 0.17 for Halmstad.

What was the final score of Malmö FF vs Halmstad?

Malmö FF 2-1 Halmstad in the Sweden - Cup on 08/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Malmö FF vs Halmstad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Malmö FF win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Malmö FF 63%, draw 22%, Halmstad 15%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Malmö FF) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Malmö FF) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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