Halmstad 0-4 Malmö FF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 16 Aug 2025

📅16/08/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.13
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
54%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.9
Over 2.5
47%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.32
2-3 Goals
36%
1.8
4-5 Goals
22%
3.56
6+ Goals
10%
14.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.32 — our 32% vs market 24.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
7.88
1/2
10%
23.2
1/X
7%
16.3
X/1
10%
9.63
X/2
17%
4.07
X/X
7%
5.09
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
27%
2.12
2/X
8%
14.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
21%
+2.9pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.3pp
55%
Away Win
55%
-0.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
49%
+4.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
51%
-4.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.2pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Halmstad EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Malmö FF EU Bookmakers 60%
+15% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -8%
1.21/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.87/1.19
+27% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -1%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
268 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 422 · 80%
17.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 34.2
14.5 Crosses 20.4
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Halmstad
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Malmö FF
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
0.70 xG 2.39
26% Ball Possession 74%
8 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 6
188 Passes 669
70% Pass Accuracy 90%
13 Box Touches 36
12 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 1
18.05.2025 Malmö FF Malmö FF 3-0 HT 2-0 Halmstad Halmstad İSÇ
10.08.2024 Halmstad Halmstad 0-1 HT 0-1 Malmö FF Malmö FF İSÇ
07.07.2024 Malmö FF Malmö FF 5-1 HT 2-1 Halmstad Halmstad İSÇ
16.03.2024 Halmstad Halmstad 0-4 HT 0-0 Malmö FF Malmö FF İSÇK
07.08.2023 Malmö FF Malmö FF 3-0 HT 1-0 Halmstad Halmstad İSÇ
14.05.2023 Halmstad Halmstad 0-1 HT 0-0 Malmö FF Malmö FF İSÇ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Halmstad
0-4
AWAY Malmö FF
1.13 xG 2.56
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 8
7 Corners 9
271 Passes 505
79% Pass Accuracy 88%
19 Box Touches 42
20 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Halmstad vs Malmö FF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Malmö FF cruised past Halmstad 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Malmö FF as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Halmstad had 38% of the ball to Malmö FF's 62%, shots finished 10-15, expected goals 1.13 to 2.56.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Malmö FF led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Halmstad and 2.83 for Malmö FF.

What was the final score of Halmstad vs Malmö FF?

Halmstad 0-4 Malmö FF in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Halmstad vs Malmö FF?

Before kick-off our model rated an Malmö FF win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Halmstad 24%, draw 22%, Malmö FF 55%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Malmö FF), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Malmö FF) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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