Norrköping 2-1 Elfsborg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 16 Aug 2025

Norrköping
2-1 HT 1-0
Elfsborg
📅16/08/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Sweden - Allsvenskan – 2025

Norrköping vs Elfsborg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.99
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
51%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.29
Over 2.5
55%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.5
No
43%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.73
2-3 Goals
37%
1.94
4-5 Goals
24%
2.84
6+ Goals
14%
7.77
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.78
1/2 EV+ ✗
14%
21.15
1/X
5%
12.95
X/1
6%
7.33
X/2
17%
5.03
X/X
11%
5.59
2/1
7%
29.0
2/2
20%
2.67
2/X
6%
12.35
Value flag · 1/2 at 21.15 — our 14% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
30%
-2.8pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.9pp
51%
Away Win
46%
+4.7pp
45%
Under 2.5
40%
+5.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
60%
-5.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
62%
-5.3pp
43%
BTTS No
38%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Norrköping v Elfsborg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Norrköping EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Elfsborg EU Bookmakers 50%
-4% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +7%
1.25/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.70/1.24
+20% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -14%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
365 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 79%
21.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.1
21.6 Crosses 20.7
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.9

Norrköping vs Elfsborg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Norrköping
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Elfsborg
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.08 xG 1.45
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
393 Passes 275
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
17 Box Touches 28
16 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
12.04.2025 Elfsborg Elfsborg 2-0 HT 1-0 Norrköping Norrköping İSÇ
19.09.2024 Elfsborg Elfsborg 2-2 HT 1-0 Norrköping Norrköping İSÇ
25.04.2024 Norrköping Norrköping 4-2 HT 0-2 Elfsborg Elfsborg İSÇ
28.08.2023 Elfsborg Elfsborg 3-2 HT 2-0 Norrköping Norrköping İSÇ
22.05.2023 Norrköping Norrköping 1-2 HT 1-0 Elfsborg Elfsborg İSÇ
14.08.2022 Elfsborg Elfsborg 1-1 HT 1-0 Norrköping Norrköping İSÇ

Norrköping 2-1 Elfsborg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Norrköping
2-1
AWAY Elfsborg
2.60 xG 1.77
46% Ball Possession 54%
16 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 13
284 Passes 323
78% Pass Accuracy 81%
25 Box Touches 35
12 Crosses 35
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Norrköping vs Elfsborg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Norrköping edged past Elfsborg 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Elfsborg at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Norrköping had 46% of the ball to Elfsborg's 54%, shots finished 16-19, expected goals 2.60 to 1.77.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Elfsborg led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Norrköping and 2.00 for Elfsborg.

What was the final score of Norrköping vs Elfsborg?

Norrköping 2-1 Elfsborg in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Norrköping vs Elfsborg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Elfsborg win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Norrköping 27%, draw 23%, Elfsborg 51%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Elfsborg) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Elfsborg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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