IK Sirius 4-0 Elfsborg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 26 Oct 2025

IK Sirius
4-0 HT 2-0
Elfsborg
📅26/10/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Sweden - Allsvenskan – 2025

IK Sirius vs Elfsborg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.75
Draw
20%
3.8
Away
27%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.51
Over 2.5
63%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.49
No
39%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
5.48
2-3 Goals
38%
2.04
4-5 Goals
27%
2.71
6+ Goals
17%
6.57
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.29
1/2
8%
32.5
1/X
5%
13.5
X/1
17%
4.69
X/2
8%
8.69
X/X
7%
6.46
2/1 EV+ ✗
14%
19.35
2/2
11%
5.82
2/X
8%
14.45
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.35 — our 14% vs market 2.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
52%
+0.4pp
20%
Draw
23%
-2.5pp
27%
Away Win
25%
+2.1pp
37%
Under 2.5
36%
+1.2pp
63%
Over 2.5
64%
-1.2pp
61%
BTTS Yes
63%
-1.6pp
39%
BTTS No
37%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

IK Sirius v Elfsborg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IK Sirius EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Elfsborg EU Bookmakers 29%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -5%
1.93/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.47
+11% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -11%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
424 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 77%
29.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.3
22.1 Crosses 21.7
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.2

IK Sirius vs Elfsborg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IK Sirius
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Elfsborg
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.32 xG 1.12
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
446 Passes 290
85% Pass Accuracy 79%
24 Box Touches 28
20 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
23.04.2025 Elfsborg Elfsborg 4-3 HT 2-1 IK Sirius IK Sirius İSÇ
06.10.2024 IK Sirius IK Sirius 4-1 HT 1-1 Elfsborg Elfsborg İSÇ
29.04.2024 Elfsborg Elfsborg 2-0 HT 1-0 IK Sirius IK Sirius İSÇ
06.08.2023 Elfsborg Elfsborg 1-0 HT 0-0 IK Sirius IK Sirius İSÇ
08.05.2023 IK Sirius IK Sirius 3-4 HT 2-1 Elfsborg Elfsborg İSÇ
18.09.2022 Elfsborg Elfsborg 3-0 HT 2-0 IK Sirius IK Sirius İSÇ

IK Sirius 4-0 Elfsborg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME IK Sirius
4-0
AWAY Elfsborg
1.41 xG 0.47
46% Ball Possession 54%
20 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 5
379 Passes 453
86% Pass Accuracy 89%
31 Box Touches 17
21 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH IK Sirius vs Elfsborg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IK Sirius ran out comfortable winners over Elfsborg 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had IK Sirius as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (63%) landed while both teams to score (61%) missed.

On the day, IK Sirius had 46% of the ball to Elfsborg's 54%, shots finished 20-8, expected goals 1.41 to 0.47.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Elfsborg led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for IK Sirius and 2.50 for Elfsborg.

What was the final score of IK Sirius vs Elfsborg?

IK Sirius 4-0 Elfsborg in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IK Sirius vs Elfsborg?

Before kick-off our model rated a IK Sirius win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split IK Sirius 53%, draw 20%, Elfsborg 27%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (IK Sirius), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (IK Sirius) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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