Mjallby 2-1 Norrköping — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 26 Oct 2025

📅26/10/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.8
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
24%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.07
Over 2.5
50%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.0
2-3 Goals
40%
1.88
4-5 Goals
21%
3.19
6+ Goals
12%
10.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.0 — our 27% vs market 20.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
2.4
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
7%
13.65
X/1
12%
4.5
X/2
10%
8.36
X/X
12%
5.47
2/1
10%
21.8
2/2
9%
6.17
2/X
6%
14.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
52%
+0.3pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.1pp
24%
Away Win
24%
-0.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.3pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mjallby EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Norrköping EU Bookmakers 28%
+8% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +16%
2.02/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.48
+2% / +57% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -3%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
413 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 77%
31.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
23.1 Crosses 15.8
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mjallby
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Norrköping
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.55 xG 1.46
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
342 Passes 299
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
23 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.05.2025 Norrköping Norrköping 1-1 HT 0-1 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ
26.08.2024 Norrköping Norrköping 1-2 HT 0-2 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ
06.04.2024 Mjallby Mjallby 3-0 HT 2-0 Norrköping Norrköping İSÇ
18.09.2023 Norrköping Norrköping 0-2 HT 0-0 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ
16.07.2023 Mjallby Mjallby 1-2 HT 0-1 Norrköping Norrköping İSÇ
10.10.2022 Norrköping Norrköping 2-2 HT 1-0 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mjallby
2-1
AWAY Norrköping
1.53 xG 1.56
73% Ball Possession 27%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
626 Passes 175
86% Pass Accuracy 68%
40 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mjallby vs Norrköping
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mjallby nicked a narrow win over Norrköping 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Mjallby as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Mjallby had 73% of the ball to Norrköping's 27%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 1.53 to 1.56.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mjallby had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Mjallby and 1.00 for Norrköping.

What was the final score of Mjallby vs Norrköping?

Mjallby 2-1 Norrköping in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mjallby vs Norrköping?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mjallby win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Mjallby 52%, draw 24%, Norrköping 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mjallby) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Mjallby)
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