Villarreal vs Elche Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Villarreal v Elche — Team-Based Signals
Villarreal vs Elche Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 2-1
Villarreal
İS1
4-0
HT 2-0
Elche
İS1
1-0
HT 0-0
Villarreal
İS1
4-1
HT 2-1
Elche
İS1
2-2
HT 0-2
Villarreal
İS1
Villarreal 2-1 Elche — Actual Match Statistics
Villarreal squeezed past Elche 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Villarreal as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (55%) came in.
On the day, Villarreal had 37% of the ball to Elche's 63%, shots finished 16-13, expected goals 1.58 to 1.22.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Villarreal had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Villarreal and 1.33 for Elche.
What was the final score of Villarreal vs Elche?
Villarreal 2-1 Elche in the Spain - Primera Liga on 08/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Villarreal vs Elche?
Before kick-off our model rated a Villarreal win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Villarreal 64%, draw 20%, Elche 16%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Villarreal), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.