Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sevilla v Rayo Vallecano — Team-Based Signals
Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 0-2
Rayo Vallecano
İS1
1-1
HT 0-1
Sevilla
İS1
Sevilla 1-1 Rayo Vallecano — Actual Match Statistics
Sevilla and Rayo Vallecano couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Sevilla at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Sevilla had 42% of the ball to Rayo Vallecano's 58%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 1.00 to 0.35.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sevilla had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Sevilla and 0.83 for Rayo Vallecano.
What was the final score of Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano?
Sevilla 1-1 Rayo Vallecano in the Spain - Primera Liga on 08/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sevilla win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Sevilla 42%, draw 30%, Rayo Vallecano 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sevilla) went the other way.