Rayo Vallecano vs Sevilla Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Rayo Vallecano v Sevilla — Team-Based Signals
Rayo Vallecano vs Sevilla Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 0-2
Rayo Vallecano
İS1
1-1
HT 0-1
Sevilla
İS1
0-1
HT 0-0
Rayo Vallecano
İS1
Rayo Vallecano 0-1 Sevilla — Actual Match Statistics
Sevilla edged past Rayo Vallecano 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Rayo Vallecano at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Rayo Vallecano had 64% of the ball to Sevilla's 36%, shots finished 18-4, expected goals 1.89 to 0.55 — on chances, Rayo Vallecano could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sevilla led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Rayo Vallecano and 1.17 for Sevilla.
What was the final score of Rayo Vallecano vs Sevilla?
Rayo Vallecano 0-1 Sevilla in the Spain - Primera Liga on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Rayo Vallecano vs Sevilla?
Before kick-off our model rated a Rayo Vallecano win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Rayo Vallecano 42%, draw 30%, Sevilla 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Rayo Vallecano), BTTS Yes went the other way.