Real Betis 2-0 Osasuna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 28 Sep 2025

📅28/09/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.8
Draw
20%
3.45
Away
22%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.78
Over 2.5
51%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
2.98
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.66
6+ Goals
9%
15.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.98 — our 28% vs market 26.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.43
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
13.9
X/1 EV+ ✗
25%
4.31
X/2
7%
8.4
X/X
9%
4.67
2/1
6%
24.7
2/2
9%
6.76
2/X
6%
15.2
Value flag · X/1 at 4.31 — our 25% vs market 18.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
52%
+6.3pp
20%
Draw
26%
-5.5pp
22%
Away Win
23%
-0.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-3.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+3.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.8pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Betis EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Osasuna EU Bookmakers 26%
+1% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -6%
1.59/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.18
+14% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +9%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
394 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 75%
28.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
17.3 Crosses 19.3
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Betis
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Osasuna
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.42 xG 1.26
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
389 Passes 291
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
30 Box Touches 22
21 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.05.2025 Real Betis Real Betis 1-1 HT 0-0 Osasuna Osasuna İS1
19.10.2024 Osasuna Osasuna 1-2 HT 0-1 Real Betis Real Betis İS1
05.05.2024 Osasuna Osasuna 0-2 HT 0-2 Real Betis Real Betis İS1
29.10.2023 Real Betis Real Betis 2-1 HT 1-0 Osasuna Osasuna İS1
22.04.2023 Osasuna Osasuna 3-2 HT 3-1 Real Betis Real Betis İS1
18.01.2023 Real Betis Real Betis 2-2 HT 0-0 Osasuna Osasuna İSPK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Betis
2-0
AWAY Osasuna
0.76 xG 0.70
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 5
435 Passes 420
84% Pass Accuracy 85%
22 Box Touches 25
16 Crosses 25
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Real Betis vs Osasuna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Betis got the better of Osasuna 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Real Betis as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Real Betis had 51% of the ball to Osasuna's 49%, shots finished 12-12, expected goals 0.76 to 0.70.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Betis had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Real Betis and 1.33 for Osasuna.

What was the final score of Real Betis vs Osasuna?

Real Betis 2-0 Osasuna in the Spain - Primera Liga on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Betis vs Osasuna?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Betis win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Real Betis 58%, draw 20%, Osasuna 22%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Betis) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Real Betis) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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