Real Betis 1-1 Osasuna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 11 May 2025

📅11/05/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.64
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
23%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.1
Over 2.5
54%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.7
No
47%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.93
2-3 Goals
41%
1.85
4-5 Goals
25%
3.04
6+ Goals
11%
9.68
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.08
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
6%
14.25
X/1
20%
4.32
X/2
12%
10.45
X/X
8%
5.7
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
21.8
2/2
6%
8.08
2/X
8%
15.95
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.8 — our 9% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
57%
-2.1pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.3pp
23%
Away Win
19%
+3.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
55%
-1.7pp
47%
BTTS No
45%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Betis EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Osasuna EU Bookmakers 22%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -12%
1.76/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.31
-4% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +2%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
405 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 78%
29.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.6
17.4 Crosses 19.3
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Betis
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Osasuna
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.43 xG 1.12
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
380 Passes 293
81% Pass Accuracy 76%
29 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 3
19.10.2024 Osasuna Osasuna 1-2 HT 0-1 Real Betis Real Betis İS1
05.05.2024 Osasuna Osasuna 0-2 HT 0-2 Real Betis Real Betis İS1
29.10.2023 Real Betis Real Betis 2-1 HT 1-0 Osasuna Osasuna İS1
22.04.2023 Osasuna Osasuna 3-2 HT 3-1 Real Betis Real Betis İS1
18.01.2023 Real Betis Real Betis 2-2 HT 0-0 Osasuna Osasuna İSPK
26.08.2022 Real Betis Real Betis 1-0 HT 1-0 Osasuna Osasuna İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Betis
1-1
AWAY Osasuna
0.44 xG 2.03
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
435 Passes 275
89% Pass Accuracy 81%
29 Box Touches 27
25 Crosses 27
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Real Betis vs Osasuna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Betis and Osasuna couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

This one beat our numbers. Real Betis carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Real Betis had 58% of the ball to Osasuna's 42%, shots finished 10-16, expected goals 0.44 to 2.03.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Betis had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Real Betis and 1.17 for Osasuna.

What was the final score of Real Betis vs Osasuna?

Real Betis 1-1 Osasuna in the Spain - Primera Liga on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Betis vs Osasuna?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Betis win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Real Betis 55%, draw 22%, Osasuna 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Real Betis), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Real Betis) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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