Leganes vs Espanyol Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Leganes v Espanyol — Team-Based Signals
Leganes vs Espanyol Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Leganes
İS2
2-1
HT 1-0
Leganes
İS2
2-0
HT 1-0
Espanyol
İS2
0-1
HT 0-0
Leganes
İS1
Leganes 3-2 Espanyol — Actual Match Statistics
Leganes squeezed past Espanyol 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Espanyol at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Leganes had 50% of the ball to Espanyol's 50%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 1.51 to 1.19.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leganes had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Leganes and 0.50 for Espanyol.
What was the final score of Leganes vs Espanyol?
Leganes 3-2 Espanyol in the Spain - Primera Liga on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Leganes vs Espanyol?
Before kick-off our model rated an Espanyol win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Leganes 30%, draw 28%, Espanyol 41%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.