Espanyol 1-1 Leganes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 11 Jan 2025

Espanyol
1-1 HT 1-1
Leganes
📅11/01/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Spain - Primera Liga – 2024/2025

Espanyol vs Leganes Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.02
Draw
33%
2.88
Away
25%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.48
Over 2.5
42%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.16
No
53%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.12
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
5.52
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.94
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.2
X/1
17%
4.35
X/2
13%
7.68
X/X
16%
3.44
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
8%
6.62
2/X
8%
15.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
45%
-3.5pp
33%
Draw
31%
+1.5pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+2.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
64%
-5.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
36%
+5.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
42%
+4.6pp
53%
BTTS No
58%
-4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Espanyol v Leganes — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Espanyol EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Leganes EU Bookmakers 27%
+1% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -4%
1.24/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.08
-4% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +36%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
343 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 73%
19.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.8
20.1 Crosses 17.6
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.5

Espanyol vs Leganes Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Espanyol
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Leganes
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.90 xG 0.96
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 3
336 Passes 267
77% Pass Accuracy 72%
15 Box Touches 16
15 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
12.04.2024 Leganes Leganes 0-0 HT 0-0 Espanyol Espanyol İS2
20.10.2023 Espanyol Espanyol 0-1 HT 0-0 Leganes Leganes İS2
11.04.2021 Espanyol Espanyol 2-1 HT 1-0 Leganes Leganes İS2
26.11.2020 Leganes Leganes 2-0 HT 1-0 Espanyol Espanyol İS2
05.07.2020 Espanyol Espanyol 0-1 HT 0-0 Leganes Leganes İS1
22.12.2019 Leganes Leganes 2-0 HT 1-0 Espanyol Espanyol İS1

Espanyol 1-1 Leganes — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Espanyol
1-1
AWAY Leganes
0.70 xG 1.99
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 4
395 Passes 354
86% Pass Accuracy 84%
22 Box Touches 23
29 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Espanyol vs Leganes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Espanyol and Leganes shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Espanyol at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Espanyol had 53% of the ball to Leganes's 47%, shots finished 15-14, expected goals 0.70 to 1.99.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leganes led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Espanyol and 1.17 for Leganes.

What was the final score of Espanyol vs Leganes?

Espanyol 1-1 Leganes in the Spain - Primera Liga on 11/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Espanyol vs Leganes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Espanyol win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Espanyol 42%, draw 33%, Leganes 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Espanyol), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Espanyol) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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