Sevilla 1-1 Valencia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 11 Jan 2025

📅11/01/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.02
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
28%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.59
Over 2.5
37%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.99
No
60%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.39
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
17%
4.66
6+ Goals
7%
26.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.96
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.3
X/1
14%
4.37
X/2
11%
7.09
X/X
16%
3.91
2/1
6%
30.5
2/2
11%
5.84
2/X
7%
14.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-2.1pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.1pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+2.0pp
63%
Under 2.5
59%
+4.1pp
37%
Over 2.5
41%
-4.1pp
40%
BTTS Yes
46%
-6.4pp
60%
BTTS No
54%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sevilla EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Valencia EU Bookmakers 29%
-3% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.35/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.42
-17% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +2%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
358 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 74%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.8
25.8 Crosses 17.0
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sevilla
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Valencia
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.69 xG 0.89
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
371 Passes 291
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
16 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
17.02.2024 Valencia Valencia 0-0 HT 0-0 Sevilla Sevilla İS1
11.08.2023 Sevilla Sevilla 1-2 HT 0-0 Valencia Valencia İS1
16.04.2023 Valencia Valencia 0-2 HT 0-0 Sevilla Sevilla İS1
18.10.2022 Sevilla Sevilla 1-1 HT 0-1 Valencia Valencia İS1
19.01.2022 Valencia Valencia 1-1 HT 1-1 Sevilla Sevilla İS1
22.09.2021 Sevilla Sevilla 3-1 HT 3-1 Valencia Valencia İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sevilla
1-1
AWAY Valencia
0.55 xG 0.66
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 1
370 Passes 322
83% Pass Accuracy 81%
16 Box Touches 13
22 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sevilla vs Valencia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sevilla and Valencia shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Sevilla at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (63%) landed while no to both teams scoring (60%) missed.

On the day, Sevilla had 53% of the ball to Valencia's 47%, shots finished 15-5, expected goals 0.55 to 0.66.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sevilla had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Sevilla and 0.83 for Valencia.

What was the final score of Sevilla vs Valencia?

Sevilla 1-1 Valencia in the Spain - Primera Liga on 11/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sevilla vs Valencia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sevilla win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Sevilla 44%, draw 29%, Valencia 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sevilla), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sevilla) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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