Valladolid 1-0 Real Betis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 11 Jan 2025

📅11/01/2025 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.04
Draw
32%
3.45
Away
42%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.75
Over 2.5
45%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.96
No
47%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.78
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
23%
3.95
6+ Goals
10%
18.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
7.57
1/2
7%
26.5
1/X
9%
16.0
X/1
10%
9.15
X/2
14%
3.95
X/X
15%
4.55
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
20%
2.34
2/X
9%
15.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
21%
+4.2pp
33%
Draw
26%
+7.1pp
42%
Away Win
53%
-11.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
53%
+1.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
47%
-1.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
47%
+6.6pp
47%
BTTS No
53%
-6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valladolid EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Betis EU Bookmakers 57%
+3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.18/1.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/0.64
+15% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -45% / +87%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
269 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 401 · 82%
15.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.1
19.4 Crosses 13.9
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valladolid
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Real Betis
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.79 xG 1.72
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
319 Passes 390
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
16 Box Touches 28
20 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.02.2023 Real Betis Real Betis 2-1 HT 2-1 Valladolid Valladolid İS1
09.10.2022 Valladolid Valladolid 0-0 HT 0-0 Real Betis Real Betis İS1
05.01.2022 Valladolid Valladolid 0-3 HT 0-2 Real Betis Real Betis İSPK
02.05.2021 Valladolid Valladolid 1-1 HT 0-0 Real Betis Real Betis İS1
20.09.2020 Real Betis Real Betis 2-0 HT 2-0 Valladolid Valladolid İS1
19.07.2020 Valladolid Valladolid 2-0 HT 1-0 Real Betis Real Betis İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valladolid
1-0
AWAY Real Betis
1.25 xG 0.73
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 8
282 Passes 404
80% Pass Accuracy 87%
15 Box Touches 36
6 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Valladolid vs Real Betis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valladolid edged past Real Betis 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Real Betis at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Valladolid had 42% of the ball to Real Betis's 58%, shots finished 12-14, expected goals 1.25 to 0.73.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Betis led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Valladolid and 1.33 for Real Betis.

What was the final score of Valladolid vs Real Betis?

Valladolid 1-0 Real Betis in the Spain - Primera Liga on 11/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valladolid vs Real Betis?

Before kick-off our model rated an Real Betis win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Valladolid 26%, draw 33%, Real Betis 42%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Real Betis), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Real Betis) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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