Atletic Lleida 1-2 Poblense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 8 Mar 2026

📅08/03/2026 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.53
Draw
33%
3.04
Away
33%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.51
Over 2.5
41%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.06
No
50%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
6%
X/2
19%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
36%
-2.0pp
33%
Draw
30%
+3.7pp
33%
Away Win
35%
-1.7pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.6pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.5pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletic Lleida EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Poblense EU Bookmakers 38%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.11/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.15
-2% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -11%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
294 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.6 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletic Lleida
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Poblense
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
36% Ball Possession 64%
3 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 7
0 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 2
06.12.2025 Poblense Poblense 3-0 HT 2-0 Atletic Lleida Atletic Lleida İS4
POST-MATCH Atletic Lleida vs Poblense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Poblense squeezed past Atletic Lleida 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (34% / 33% / 33%) promised a tight game; Poblense found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Atletic Lleida vs Poblense?

Atletic Lleida 1-2 Poblense in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 08/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletic Lleida vs Poblense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletic Lleida win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Atletic Lleida 34%, draw 33%, Poblense 33%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Atletic Lleida) ✗ Under 2.5
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