Estepona 3-2 La Union Atletico — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 8 Mar 2026

📅08/03/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.12
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
31%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.52
Over 2.5
41%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.13
No
54%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
10%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
43%
-2.3pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.3pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+3.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
43%
+3.1pp
54%
BTTS No
57%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estepona EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY La Union Atletico EU Bookmakers 31%
-21% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -3%
1.04/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.36
-21% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -10%
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
333 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estepona
2W-1D-1L
AWAY La Union Atletico
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 3
04.01.2026 La Union Atletico La Union Atletico 0-3 HT 0-2 Estepona Estepona İS4
30.03.2025 La Union Atletico La Union Atletico 1-1 HT 1-0 Estepona Estepona İS4
17.11.2024 Estepona Estepona 0-1 HT 0-0 La Union Atletico La Union Atletico İS4
16.12.2023 La Union Atletico La Union Atletico 0-1 HT 0-0 Estepona Estepona İS4
POST-MATCH Estepona vs La Union Atletico
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estepona nicked a narrow win over La Union Atletico 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Estepona as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Estepona had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Estepona and 0.50 for La Union Atletico.

What was the final score of Estepona vs La Union Atletico?

Estepona 3-2 La Union Atletico in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 08/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estepona vs La Union Atletico?

Before kick-off our model rated a Estepona win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Estepona 41%, draw 28%, La Union Atletico 31%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Estepona) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Estepona) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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