La Union Atletico 0-3 Estepona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 4 Jan 2026

📅04/01/2026 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.76
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
19%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.54
Over 2.5
52%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
2.19
No
47%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
53%
+3.7pp
24%
Draw
28%
-4.1pp
20%
Away Win
19%
+0.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
61%
-12.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
39%
+12.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
42%
+11.9pp
47%
BTTS No
58%
-11.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME La Union Atletico EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Estepona EU Bookmakers 22%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -10%
1.23/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/1.13
-23% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +19%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
266 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME La Union Atletico
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Estepona
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 4
30.03.2025 La Union Atletico La Union Atletico 1-1 HT 1-0 Estepona Estepona İS4
17.11.2024 Estepona Estepona 0-1 HT 0-0 La Union Atletico La Union Atletico İS4
16.12.2023 La Union Atletico La Union Atletico 0-1 HT 0-0 Estepona Estepona İS4
POST-MATCH La Union Atletico vs Estepona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estepona ran out comfortable winners over La Union Atletico 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

This one beat our numbers. La Union Atletico carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for La Union Atletico and 0.67 for Estepona.

What was the final score of La Union Atletico vs Estepona?

La Union Atletico 0-3 Estepona in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 04/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for La Union Atletico vs Estepona?

Before kick-off our model rated a La Union Atletico win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split La Union Atletico 57%, draw 24%, Estepona 20%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (La Union Atletico), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (La Union Atletico) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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