Colonia Moscardo 4-0 Rayo Vallecano II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 8 Mar 2026

📅08/03/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.82
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
25%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.91
Over 2.5
53%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.75
No
43%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
12%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
51%
+0.4pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.0pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+0.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.5pp
57%
BTTS Yes
53%
+4.2pp
43%
BTTS No
47%
-4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Colonia Moscardo EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Rayo Vallecano II EU Bookmakers 28%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +36% / +36%
1.73/1.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/0.00
+21% / -52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -50% /
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
383 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.4 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Colonia Moscardo
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Rayo Vallecano II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 5
5 Yellow Cards 4
19.10.2025 Rayo Vallecano II Rayo Vallecano II 0-1 HT 0-0 Colonia Moscardo İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Colonia Moscardo
4-0
AWAY Rayo Vallecano II
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Colonia Moscardo vs Rayo Vallecano II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Colonia Moscardo ran out comfortable winners over Rayo Vallecano II 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Colonia Moscardo as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Colonia Moscardo had 46% of the ball to Rayo Vallecano II's 54%, shots finished 14-13.

What was the final score of Colonia Moscardo vs Rayo Vallecano II?

Colonia Moscardo 4-0 Rayo Vallecano II in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 08/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Colonia Moscardo vs Rayo Vallecano II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Colonia Moscardo win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Colonia Moscardo 51%, draw 24%, Rayo Vallecano II 25%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Colonia Moscardo), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Colonia Moscardo) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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