Young Boys 1-2 Thun — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 8 Mar 2026

📅08/03/2026 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.12
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
34%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.59
Over 2.5
59%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.39
No
38%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.51
2-3 Goals
40%
1.99
4-5 Goals
25%
2.53
6+ Goals
12%
5.76
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.93
1/2 EV+ ✓
7%
25.0
1/X
5%
12.05
X/1
14%
5.57
X/2
12%
6.84
X/X
9%
5.99
2/1
7%
21.05
2/2
16%
4.03
2/X
7%
12.35
Value flag · 1/2 at 25.0 — our 7% vs market 1.9%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
43%
+1.1pp
21%
Draw
24%
-3.1pp
34%
Away Win
32%
+2.0pp
41%
Under 2.5
35%
+5.9pp
59%
Over 2.5
65%
-5.9pp
62%
BTTS Yes
68%
-5.4pp
38%
BTTS No
32%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Young Boys EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Thun EU Bookmakers 36%
+13% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +28%
1.95/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/1.48
+38% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / +41%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
307 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 70%
28.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.2
21.6 Crosses 16.6
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Young Boys
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Thun
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
2.28 xG 1.33
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
323 Passes 230
75% Pass Accuracy 68%
28 Box Touches 21
19 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
25.01.2026 Thun Thun 4-1 HT 0-0 Young Boys Young Boys İSV
28.09.2025 Young Boys Young Boys 4-2 HT 0-0 Thun Thun İSV
28.02.2023 Thun Thun 0-5 HT 0-1 Young Boys Young Boys İSVK
08.07.2020 Young Boys Young Boys 4-0 HT 1-0 Thun Thun İSV
23.06.2020 Thun Thun 1-0 HT 0-0 Young Boys Young Boys İSV
27.10.2019 Young Boys Young Boys 4-2 HT 2-1 Thun Thun İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Young Boys
1-2
AWAY Thun
1.68 xG 2.08
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
259 Passes 234
75% Pass Accuracy 71%
25 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Young Boys vs Thun
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Thun edged past Young Boys 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Young Boys at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (62%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Young Boys had 51% of the ball to Thun's 49%, shots finished 14-16, expected goals 1.68 to 2.08.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Young Boys had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Young Boys and 1.50 for Thun.

What was the final score of Young Boys vs Thun?

Young Boys 1-2 Thun in the Switzerland - Super League on 08/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Young Boys vs Thun?

Before kick-off our model rated a Young Boys win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Young Boys 45%, draw 21%, Thun 34%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Young Boys) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Young Boys) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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