St. Gallen 3-0 Basel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 8 Mar 2026

📅08/03/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.96
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
34%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.33
Over 2.5
61%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.49
No
36%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
4.65
2-3 Goals
39%
1.89
4-5 Goals
27%
2.71
6+ Goals
15%
7.21
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.66
1/2
6%
29.0
1/X
7%
12.15
X/1
19%
5.09
X/2
11%
7.48
X/X
8%
5.58
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
21.2
2/2
18%
4.84
2/X
6%
12.8
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.2 — our 8% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
47%
-3.2pp
22%
Draw
25%
-3.0pp
34%
Away Win
28%
+6.2pp
39%
Under 2.5
39%
+0.4pp
61%
Over 2.5
61%
-0.3pp
64%
BTTS Yes
63%
+1.0pp
36%
BTTS No
37%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Gallen EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Basel EU Bookmakers 32%
-4% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -10%
1.94/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.63
+14% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -12%
53% Ball Possession 47%
18 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
336 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 76%
27.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.6
17.4 Crosses 16.2
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Gallen
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Basel
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.05 xG 1.85
43% Ball Possession 57%
16 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
234 Passes 376
69% Pass Accuracy 82%
25 Box Touches 27
18 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
04.02.2026 St. Gallen St. Gallen 2-1 HT 1-0 Basel Basel İSVK
30.11.2025 Basel Basel 0-0 HT 0-0 St. Gallen St. Gallen İSV
26.07.2025 St. Gallen St. Gallen 2-1 HT 0-1 Basel Basel İSV
22.02.2025 St. Gallen St. Gallen 2-2 HT 0-1 Basel Basel İSV
08.12.2024 St. Gallen St. Gallen 1-1 HT 1-0 Basel Basel İSV
20.10.2024 Basel Basel 2-1 St. Gallen St. Gallen İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St. Gallen
3-0
AWAY Basel
2.50 xG 1.02
42% Ball Possession 58%
25 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
271 Passes 404
75% Pass Accuracy 83%
42 Box Touches 19
14 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH St. Gallen vs Basel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Gallen cruised past Basel 3-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had St. Gallen as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (61%) landed while both teams to score (64%) missed.

On the day, St. Gallen had 42% of the ball to Basel's 58%, shots finished 25-11, expected goals 2.50 to 1.02.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, St. Gallen had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for St. Gallen and 1.17 for Basel.

What was the final score of St. Gallen vs Basel?

St. Gallen 3-0 Basel in the Switzerland - Super League on 08/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Gallen vs Basel?

Before kick-off our model rated a St. Gallen win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split St. Gallen 44%, draw 22%, Basel 34%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St. Gallen), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (St. Gallen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İSV More Switzerland - Super League
8 Mar 2026
18:30 Young Boys vs Thun Analysis →
18:30 Grasshoppers vs Lausanne Sports Analysis →