St. Gallen vs Basel Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
St. Gallen v Basel — Team-Based Signals
St. Gallen vs Basel Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
St. Gallen 2-1 Basel — Actual Match Statistics
St. Gallen nicked a narrow win over Basel 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
Our pre-match lean was Basel at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (60%) came in.
On the day, St. Gallen had 42% of the ball to Basel's 58%, shots finished 23-9.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Basel led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for St. Gallen and 1.17 for Basel.
What was the final score of St. Gallen vs Basel?
St. Gallen 2-1 Basel in the Switzerland - Cup on 04/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for St. Gallen vs Basel?
Before kick-off our model rated an Basel win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split St. Gallen 31%, draw 20%, Basel 49%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Basel) went the other way.