Stade Ouchy 2-1 Luzern — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Cup, 4 Feb 2026

📅04/02/2026 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.19
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
40%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.07
Over 2.5
52%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.56
No
45%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.84
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
22%
3.0
6+ Goals
11%
9.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
5%
X/2
14%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
42%
-8.5pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.2pp
39%
Away Win
32%
+7.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.6pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stade Ouchy EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Luzern EU Bookmakers 36%
+45% / +45% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +35% / +35%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.97/1.11
-26% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +10%
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
275 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 41.0
Crosses 35.0
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stade Ouchy
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Luzern
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
0.91 xG 2.33
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
364 Passes 291
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 34
12 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.05.2024 Luzern Luzern 1-2 HT 0-2 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy İSV
10.03.2024 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy 2-1 HT 0-0 Luzern Luzern İSV
01.02.2024 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy 0-3 HT 0-2 Luzern Luzern İSV
30.07.2023 Luzern Luzern 2-1 HT 0-0 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stade Ouchy
2-1
AWAY Luzern
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Stade Ouchy vs Luzern
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stade Ouchy edged past Luzern 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 27% / 39% — and on the day Stade Ouchy made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Stade Ouchy had 44% of the ball to Luzern's 56%, shots finished 12-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Stade Ouchy and 1.75 for Luzern.

What was the final score of Stade Ouchy vs Luzern?

Stade Ouchy 2-1 Luzern in the Switzerland - Cup on 04/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stade Ouchy vs Luzern?

Before kick-off our model rated an Luzern win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Stade Ouchy 33%, draw 27%, Luzern 39%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Luzern) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Luzern) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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