Forli 1-1 Livorno — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 8 Mar 2026

📅08/03/2026 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.02
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
27%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.8
Over 2.5
44%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.93
2-3 Goals
37%
1.71
4-5 Goals
20%
3.55
6+ Goals
11%
14.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.93 — our 32% vs market 26.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
46%
+2.4pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.1pp
27%
Away Win
28%
-1.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.0pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Forli EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Livorno EU Bookmakers 32%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -25% / -24%
1.86/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.42/1.59
+41% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -61% / -27%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
310 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Forli
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Livorno
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
5 Yellow Cards 2
02.11.2025 Livorno Livorno 2-3 HT 0-2 Forli Forli İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Forli
1-1
AWAY Livorno
54% Ball Possession 46%
19 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Forli vs Livorno
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Forli and Livorno couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Forli at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Forli had 54% of the ball to Livorno's 46%, shots finished 19-9.

What was the final score of Forli vs Livorno?

Forli 1-1 Livorno in the Italy - Serie C on 08/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Forli vs Livorno?

Before kick-off our model rated a Forli win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Forli 48%, draw 25%, Livorno 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Forli), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Forli) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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