Pianese 1-0 Pineto — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 8 Mar 2026

📅08/03/2026 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.25
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
29%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.48
Over 2.5
45%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.09
No
51%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.14
2-3 Goals
38%
1.72
4-5 Goals
21%
5.1
6+ Goals
9%
32.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
41%
+2.9pp
28%
Draw
30%
-2.6pp
29%
Away Win
29%
-0.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
64%
-9.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
36%
+9.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.5pp
51%
BTTS No
56%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pianese EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Pineto EU Bookmakers 32%
-6% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -4%
1.01/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.22
-18% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -5%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
284 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pianese
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Pineto
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
01.11.2025 Pineto Pineto 1-1 HT 1-1 Pianese Pianese İTC
04.05.2025 Pineto Pineto 0-1 HT 0-0 Pianese Pianese İTC
12.04.2025 Pianese Pianese 4-0 HT 2-0 Pineto Pineto İTC
29.11.2024 Pineto Pineto 1-0 HT 1-0 Pianese Pianese İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pianese
1-0
AWAY Pineto
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Pianese vs Pineto
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pianese nicked a narrow win over Pineto 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Pianese as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Pianese had 49% of the ball to Pineto's 51%, shots finished 8-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Pianese had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Pianese and 0.50 for Pineto.

What was the final score of Pianese vs Pineto?

Pianese 1-0 Pineto in the Italy - Serie C on 08/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pianese vs Pineto?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pianese win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Pianese 43%, draw 28%, Pineto 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pianese), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Pianese) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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