Athletic Carpi 1-1 Sassari Torres — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 8 Mar 2026

📅08/03/2026 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.46
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
38%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.74
Over 2.5
48%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
2.75
2-3 Goals
43%
1.7
4-5 Goals
20%
3.76
6+ Goals
8%
17.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.75 — our 29% vs market 28.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
37%
-4.4pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.1pp
38%
Away Win
34%
+4.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
54%
-1.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
46%
+1.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.3pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Athletic Carpi EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Sassari Torres EU Bookmakers 37%
-3% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +0%
1.04/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.33
-10% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -17%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
312 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Athletic Carpi
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Sassari Torres
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.11.2025 Sassari Torres Sassari Torres 0-1 HT 0-0 Athletic Carpi Athletic Carpi İTC
23.04.2025 Sassari Torres Sassari Torres 4-2 HT 0-0 Athletic Carpi Athletic Carpi İTC
07.12.2024 Athletic Carpi Athletic Carpi 1-2 HT 1-2 Sassari Torres Sassari Torres İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Athletic Carpi
1-1
AWAY Sassari Torres
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Athletic Carpi vs Sassari Torres
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Athletic Carpi and Sassari Torres shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (33% / 29% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Athletic Carpi had 42% of the ball to Sassari Torres's 58%, shots finished 8-18.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Sassari Torres led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Athletic Carpi and 2.00 for Sassari Torres.

What was the final score of Athletic Carpi vs Sassari Torres?

Athletic Carpi 1-1 Sassari Torres in the Italy - Serie C on 08/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Athletic Carpi vs Sassari Torres?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sassari Torres win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Athletic Carpi 33%, draw 29%, Sassari Torres 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sassari Torres) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sassari Torres) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTC More Italy - Serie C
8 Mar 2026
14:30 Juventus II vs Vis Pesaro Analysis →
14:30 Forli vs Livorno Analysis →
16:30 Pianese vs Pineto Analysis →
16:30 Siracusa vs SSC Giugliano Analysis →
16:30 Cosenza Calcio vs Team Altamura Analysis →
16:30 Salernitana vs US Latina Analysis →