Salernitana 2-1 US Latina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 8 Mar 2026

📅08/03/2026 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.72
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
24%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.67
Over 2.5
48%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
2.03
No
47%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.56
2-3 Goals
40%
1.7
4-5 Goals
22%
4.07
6+ Goals
9%
20.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
25%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
54%
-2.0pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.6pp
24%
Away Win
19%
+4.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-4.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+4.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
45%
+7.9pp
47%
BTTS No
55%
-7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Salernitana EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY US Latina EU Bookmakers 22%
-13% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +4%
1.40/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.36
-11% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -1%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
326 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Salernitana
2W-3D-0L
AWAY US Latina
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
52% Ball Possession 48%
18 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.11.2025 US Latina US Latina 0-0 HT 0-0 Salernitana Salernitana İTC
17.04.2017 Salernitana Salernitana 2-1 HT 0-1 US Latina US Latina İTB
19.11.2016 US Latina US Latina 1-1 HT 0-0 Salernitana Salernitana İTB
09.04.2016 Salernitana Salernitana 3-2 HT 2-2 US Latina US Latina İTB
21.11.2015 US Latina US Latina 2-2 HT 1-0 Salernitana Salernitana İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Salernitana
2-1
AWAY US Latina
35% Ball Possession 65%
3 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Salernitana vs US Latina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Salernitana nicked a narrow win over US Latina 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Salernitana as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Salernitana had 35% of the ball to US Latina's 65%, shots finished 3-14.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Salernitana had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Salernitana and 1.20 for US Latina.

What was the final score of Salernitana vs US Latina?

Salernitana 2-1 US Latina in the Italy - Serie C on 08/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Salernitana vs US Latina?

Before kick-off our model rated a Salernitana win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Salernitana 52%, draw 24%, US Latina 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Salernitana), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Salernitana) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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