Sparta Rotterdam vs PEC Zwolle Prediction — Model Probabilities
Sparta Rotterdam v PEC Zwolle — Team-Based Signals
Sparta Rotterdam vs PEC Zwolle Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Sparta Rotterdam 1-1 PEC Zwolle — Actual Match Statistics
a 1-1 draw left Sparta Rotterdam and PEC Zwolle with a point apiece. Half-time: 0-0.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Sparta Rotterdam at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals card split: both teams to score (62%) came in, over 2.5 goals (66%) didn't.
On the day, Sparta Rotterdam had 51% of the ball to PEC Zwolle's 49%, shots finished 20-15, expected goals 1.78 to 1.59.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, PEC Zwolle led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Sparta Rotterdam and 1.00 for PEC Zwolle.
Sparta Rotterdam vs PEC Zwolle Result & Final Score
Sparta Rotterdam 1 - 1 PEC Zwolle in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 08/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Sparta Rotterdam vs PEC Zwolle Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Sparta Rotterdam win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Sparta Rotterdam 56%, draw 22%, PEC Zwolle 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sparta Rotterdam), Over 2.5 went the other way.