Sparta Rotterdam vs PEC Zwolle Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sparta Rotterdam v PEC Zwolle — Team-Based Signals
Sparta Rotterdam vs PEC Zwolle Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-1
Sparta Rotterdam
HOL
2-0
HT 2-0
PEC Zwolle
HOL
1-1
HT 1-1
Sparta Rotterdam
HOL
3-2
HT 1-0
PEC Zwolle
HOL
Sparta Rotterdam 1-1 PEC Zwolle — Actual Match Statistics
Sparta Rotterdam and PEC Zwolle shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.
Our pre-match lean was Sparta Rotterdam at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Sparta Rotterdam had 59% of the ball to PEC Zwolle's 41%, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 1.76 to 1.12.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sparta Rotterdam had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Sparta Rotterdam and 1.17 for PEC Zwolle.
What was the final score of Sparta Rotterdam vs PEC Zwolle?
Sparta Rotterdam 1-1 PEC Zwolle in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sparta Rotterdam vs PEC Zwolle?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sparta Rotterdam win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Sparta Rotterdam 48%, draw 26%, PEC Zwolle 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sparta Rotterdam) went the other way.