RKC Waalwijk 0-3 PSV Eindhoven — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
5.91
Draw
22%
4.95
Away
54%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
3.17
Over 2.5
58%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.56
No
47%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
7.61
2-3 Goals
35%
2.27
4-5 Goals
30%
2.34
6+ Goals
14%
4.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
12.45
1/2
8%
17.25
1/X
7%
20.8
X/1
8%
17.2
X/2
21%
4.19
X/X
10%
9.54
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
25%
1.5
2/X
6%
18.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 Away Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
13%
+10.3pp
22%
Draw
17%
+5.2pp
54%
Away Win
70%
-15.6pp
42%
Under 2.5
28%
+14.2pp
58%
Over 2.5
72%
-14.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.3pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME RKC Waalwijk EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY PSV Eindhoven EU Bookmakers 75%
-2% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -22%
0.95/1.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.45/0.95
-24% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -13%
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
298 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 469 · 84%
16.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 38.2
17.1 Crosses 21.4
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME RKC Waalwijk
0W-0D-6L
AWAY PSV Eindhoven
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
0.87 xG 2.70
34% Ball Possession 66%
9 Total Shots 25
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 9
236 Passes 537
72% Pass Accuracy 87%
14 Box Touches 48
10 Crosses 23
4 Yellow Cards 2
10.08.2024 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 5-1 HT 3-0 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk HOL
19.05.2024 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 3-1 HT 1-1 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk HOL
02.09.2023 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk 0-4 HT 0-1 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven HOL
05.03.2023 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk 0-1 HT 0-1 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven HOL
11.09.2022 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 1-0 HT 0-0 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk HOL
10.04.2022 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 2-0 HT 1-0 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk HOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME RKC Waalwijk
0-3
AWAY PSV Eindhoven
0.16 xG 2.08
37% Ball Possession 63%
5 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 5
305 Passes 553
83% Pass Accuracy 89%
7 Box Touches 51
16 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH RKC Waalwijk vs PSV Eindhoven
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PSV Eindhoven swept aside RKC Waalwijk 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we said in the preview, our model had PSV Eindhoven as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, RKC Waalwijk had 37% of the ball to PSV Eindhoven's 63%, shots finished 5-17, expected goals 0.16 to 2.08.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, PSV Eindhoven led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for RKC Waalwijk and 2.67 for PSV Eindhoven.

What was the final score of RKC Waalwijk vs PSV Eindhoven?

RKC Waalwijk 0-3 PSV Eindhoven in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for RKC Waalwijk vs PSV Eindhoven?

Before kick-off our model rated an PSV Eindhoven win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split RKC Waalwijk 24%, draw 22%, PSV Eindhoven 54%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PSV Eindhoven), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (PSV Eindhoven) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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