PSV Eindhoven 3-1 RKC Waalwijk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 19 May 2024

📅19/05/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.16
Draw
19%
7.78
Away
15%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
Over 2.5
66%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.55
No
46%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
30%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
21%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
5%
X/X
6%
2/1
13%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
82%
-15.3pp
19%
Draw
10%
+9.4pp
14%
Away Win
8%
+6.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.0pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PSV Eindhoven EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY RKC Waalwijk EU Bookmakers 11%
+3% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -5%
2.82/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/2.27
+17% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +13%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
492 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 73%
42.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.1
23.2 Crosses 12.7
0.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PSV Eindhoven
6W-0D-0L
AWAY RKC Waalwijk
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
2.15 xG 0.81
60% Ball Possession 40%
22 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
504 Passes 298
85% Pass Accuracy 75%
40 Box Touches 14
17 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.09.2023 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk 0-4 HT 0-1 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven HOL
05.03.2023 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk 0-1 HT 0-1 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven HOL
11.09.2022 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 1-0 HT 0-0 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk HOL
10.04.2022 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 2-0 HT 1-0 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk HOL
19.12.2021 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk 1-4 HT 0-1 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven HOL
23.01.2021 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 2-0 HT 1-0 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk HOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PSV Eindhoven
3-1
AWAY RKC Waalwijk
4.00 xG 0.53
76% Ball Possession 24%
34 Total Shots 5
10 Shots on Target 2
14 Corners 3
527 Passes 133
88% Pass Accuracy 68%
65 Box Touches 8
39 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH PSV Eindhoven vs RKC Waalwijk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PSV Eindhoven beat RKC Waalwijk 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had PSV Eindhoven as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (66%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, PSV Eindhoven had 76% of the ball to RKC Waalwijk's 24%, shots finished 34-5, expected goals 4.00 to 0.53.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, PSV Eindhoven had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for PSV Eindhoven and 0.17 for RKC Waalwijk.

What was the final score of PSV Eindhoven vs RKC Waalwijk?

PSV Eindhoven 3-1 RKC Waalwijk in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PSV Eindhoven vs RKC Waalwijk?

Before kick-off our model rated a PSV Eindhoven win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split PSV Eindhoven 66%, draw 19%, RKC Waalwijk 14%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PSV Eindhoven), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (PSV Eindhoven) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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