Tochigi City 1-1 ThespaKusatsu Gunma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — JAP2-3, 8 Mar 2026

📅08/03/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.12
Draw
23%
3.11
Away
40%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.6
Over 2.5
48%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.96
No
48%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.38
2-3 Goals
39%
1.7
4-5 Goals
22%
4.43
6+ Goals
9%
24.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
43%
-5.7pp
23%
Draw
28%
-5.3pp
40%
Away Win
29%
+10.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
59%
-6.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
41%
+6.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+5.4pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tochigi City EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY ThespaKusatsu Gunma EU Bookmakers 32%
-56% / -56% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -46% / -46%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/5.00
-100% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -78%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
260 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
12.0 Crosses 22.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tochigi City
0W-1D-1L
AWAY ThespaKusatsu Gunma
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
45% Ball Possession 54%
6 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 7
88 Passes 267
70% Pass Accuracy 76%
17 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
19.07.2025 Tochigi City Tochigi City 1-1 HT 0-0 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma JAP3
22.02.2025 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma 2-0 HT 2-0 Tochigi City Tochigi City JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tochigi City
1-1
AWAY ThespaKusatsu Gunma
50% Ball Possession 50%
19 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 2
271 Passes 267
76% Pass Accuracy 73%
42 Crosses 27
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Tochigi City vs ThespaKusatsu Gunma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tochigi City and ThespaKusatsu Gunma couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 23% / 40% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Tochigi City had 50% of the ball to ThespaKusatsu Gunma's 50%, shots finished 19-13.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, ThespaKusatsu Gunma led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Tochigi City and 1.50 for ThespaKusatsu Gunma.

What was the final score of Tochigi City vs ThespaKusatsu Gunma?

Tochigi City 1-1 ThespaKusatsu Gunma in the JAP2-3 on 08/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tochigi City vs ThespaKusatsu Gunma?

Before kick-off our model rated an ThespaKusatsu Gunma win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Tochigi City 37%, draw 23%, ThespaKusatsu Gunma 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (ThespaKusatsu Gunma) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (ThespaKusatsu Gunma) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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