Fukushima United 4-2 Parceiro Nagano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — JAP2-3, 8 Mar 2026

📅08/03/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.38
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
34%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.1
Over 2.5
44%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.56
No
51%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.82
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
2.92
6+ Goals
10%
9.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.82 — our 30% vs market 19.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
6%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
38%
-0.1pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.8pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-2.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
44%
+11.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
56%
-11.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
60%
-10.7pp
51%
BTTS No
40%
+10.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fukushima United EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Parceiro Nagano EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
361 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fukushima United
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Parceiro Nagano
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
380 Passes 227
80% Pass Accuracy 69%
15 Crosses 27
1 Yellow Cards 2
28.09.2025 Fukushima United Fukushima United 1-4 HT 1-2 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano JAP3
23.03.2025 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano 2-0 HT 0-0 Fukushima United Fukushima United JAP3
29.09.2024 Fukushima United Fukushima United 0-0 HT 0-0 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano JAP3
20.03.2024 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano 2-1 HT 0-0 Fukushima United Fukushima United JAP3
09.09.2023 Fukushima United Fukushima United 0-1 HT 0-1 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano JAP3
30.04.2023 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano 2-3 HT 2-0 Fukushima United Fukushima United JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fukushima United
4-2
AWAY Parceiro Nagano
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 4
345 Passes 235
77% Pass Accuracy 71%
13 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Fukushima United vs Parceiro Nagano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fukushima United got the better of Parceiro Nagano 4-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 28% / 33% — and on the day Fukushima United made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Fukushima United had 57% of the ball to Parceiro Nagano's 43%, shots finished 16-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Parceiro Nagano led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Fukushima United and 1.83 for Parceiro Nagano.

What was the final score of Fukushima United vs Parceiro Nagano?

Fukushima United 4-2 Parceiro Nagano in the JAP2-3 on 08/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fukushima United vs Parceiro Nagano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fukushima United win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Fukushima United 38%, draw 28%, Parceiro Nagano 33%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fukushima United) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fukushima United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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