Sagamihara 4-0 Tochigi SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — JAP2-3, 8 Mar 2026

📅08/03/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
36%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.62
Over 2.5
49%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.9
No
46%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.45
2-3 Goals
39%
1.7
4-5 Goals
25%
4.28
6+ Goals
9%
22.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
34%
+4.9pp
25%
Draw
29%
-4.2pp
36%
Away Win
37%
-0.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
58%
-7.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
42%
+7.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
49%
+5.3pp
46%
BTTS No
51%
-5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sagamihara EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Tochigi SC EU Bookmakers 40%
+46% / +46% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+150% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
338 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
23.0 Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sagamihara
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Tochigi SC
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.25
48% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
242 Passes 368
73% Pass Accuracy 79%
12 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
20.07.2025 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC 1-2 HT 1-1 Sagamihara Sagamihara JAP3
22.02.2025 Sagamihara Sagamihara 1-0 HT 1-0 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC JAP3
09.08.2021 Sagamihara Sagamihara 0-0 HT 0-0 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC JAP2
11.04.2021 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC 0-0 HT 0-0 Sagamihara Sagamihara JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sagamihara
4-0
AWAY Tochigi SC
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 4
164 Passes 228
56% Pass Accuracy 63%
16 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sagamihara vs Tochigi SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sagamihara cruised past Tochigi SC 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 25% / 36% — and on the day Sagamihara made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Sagamihara had 44% of the ball to Tochigi SC's 56%, shots finished 11-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Sagamihara had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Sagamihara and 0.25 for Tochigi SC.

What was the final score of Sagamihara vs Tochigi SC?

Sagamihara 4-0 Tochigi SC in the JAP2-3 on 08/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sagamihara vs Tochigi SC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sagamihara win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Sagamihara 39%, draw 25%, Tochigi SC 36%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sagamihara) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sagamihara) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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