Fredrikstad vs Sarpsborg 08 Prediction — Model Probabilities
Fredrikstad v Sarpsborg 08 — Team-Based Signals
Fredrikstad vs Sarpsborg 08 Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Fredrikstad 2-1 Sarpsborg 08 — Actual Match Statistics
Fredrikstad edged past Sarpsborg 08 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 26% / 34% — and on the day Fredrikstad made the difference. The goals call finished the job: over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (59%) landed.
On the day, Sarpsborg 08 saw more of the ball, 53% to 47%, shots finished 15-12.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.00 a game for Fredrikstad against 1.33 for Sarpsborg 08.
Fredrikstad vs Sarpsborg 08 Result & Final Score
Fredrikstad 2 - 1 Sarpsborg 08 in the Norway - NM Cup on 08/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Fredrikstad vs Sarpsborg 08 Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Fredrikstad win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Fredrikstad 40%, draw 26%, Sarpsborg 08 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fredrikstad), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.