Lusitania FC Lourosa vs Sporting CP II Prediction — Model Probabilities
Lusitania FC Lourosa v Sporting CP II — Team-Based Signals
Lusitania FC Lourosa vs Sporting CP II Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
Lusitania FC Lourosa 1-0 Sporting CP II — Actual Match Statistics
Lusitania FC Lourosa edged past Sporting CP II 1-0.
The model refused to pick a side here (38% / 27% / 35%); Lusitania FC Lourosa picked one for it.
Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 50% and both teams to score at 53%. The market went further still — the under-2.5 price closed at 1.74, about 57%.
By the numbers, Sporting CP II saw more of the ball, 70% to 30%, shots finished 5-11, expected goals 0.54 to 1.56 — the balance of chances actually favoured Sporting CP II.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Sporting CP II led the recent series with 2 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.67 a game for Lusitania FC Lourosa against 2.00 for Sporting CP II.
Lusitania FC Lourosa vs Sporting CP II Result & Final Score
Lusitania FC Lourosa 1-0 Sporting CP II in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 08/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Lusitania FC Lourosa vs Sporting CP II Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Lusitania FC Lourosa win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Lusitania FC Lourosa 38%, draw 27%, Sporting CP II 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lusitania FC Lourosa) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.