Maritimo vs Porto II Prediction — Model Probabilities
Maritimo v Porto II — Team-Based Signals
Maritimo vs Porto II Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
Maritimo 2-1 Porto II — Actual Match Statistics
Maritimo shaded a tight game against Porto II 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Maritimo as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
The goals picture was genuinely open: 49% for over 2.5, 50% on both teams scoring. At 1.59 (~63%), the BTTS-no price was shorter than our number — the market leaned harder than we did.
Under the surface, possession split 54% to 46% in Maritimo's favour, shots finished 20-14, expected goals 1.92 to 1.75.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Maritimo had the better of it with 4 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.00 a game for Maritimo against 0.20 for Porto II.
Maritimo vs Porto II Result & Final Score
Maritimo 2-1 Porto II in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 08/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Maritimo vs Porto II Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Maritimo win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Maritimo 61%, draw 21%, Porto II 18%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Maritimo) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.