Porto II 1-0 Maritimo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 19 Oct 2025

📅19/10/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.84
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
45%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under
52%
1.74
Over
48%
1.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
54%
1.82
No
46%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2.75
2-3
40%
1.73
4-5
20%
3.85
6+
11%
17.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
16%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Porto II The Market 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Maritimo The Market 45%
Weak Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Great
Bad Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Great
1.13 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.97
1.38 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.24
Strong Attackvs comparable teams Average
Weak Defensevs comparable teams Strong
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
292 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.2 Crosses 17.4
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Porto II
0W-0D-4L
AWAY Maritimo
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
0.90 xG 1.88
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
330 Passes 219
79% Pass Accuracy 73%
16 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 4
02.03.2025 Porto II Porto II 0-1 HT 0-0 Maritimo Maritimo POR2
05.10.2024 Maritimo Maritimo 1-0 HT 1-0 Porto II Porto II POR2
17.02.2024 Maritimo Maritimo 1-0 HT 1-0 Porto II Porto II POR2
16.09.2023 Porto II Porto II 0-2 HT 0-0 Maritimo Maritimo POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Porto II
1-0
AWAY Maritimo
0.63 xG 1.27
32% Ball Possession 68%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 9
131 Passes 268
62% Pass Accuracy 76%
7 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 4
REVIEW Porto II vs Maritimo
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Porto II came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Maritimo 1-0.

We leaned Maritimo at 45% — softly — and the game went the other way. Slim leads do that.

No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 48% and both teams to score at 54%, coin-flips both. The market went further still — the BTTS-no price closed at 1.88, about 53%.

The match data tells the story: Maritimo saw more of the ball, 68% to 32%, shots finished 11-15, expected goals 0.63 to 1.27 — the balance of chances actually favoured Maritimo.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Maritimo led the recent series with 4 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.00 a game for Porto II against 1.25 for Maritimo.

Porto II vs Maritimo Result & Final Score

Porto II 1-0 Maritimo in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 19/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Porto II vs Maritimo Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Maritimo win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Porto II 27%, draw 28%, Maritimo 45%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Maritimo), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Maritimo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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