Fenerbahçe vs Samsunspor Prediction — Model Probabilities
Fenerbahçe v Samsunspor — Team-Based Signals
Fenerbahçe vs Samsunspor Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Fenerbahçe 3-2 Samsunspor — Actual Match Statistics
Fenerbahçe squeezed past Samsunspor 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Fenerbahçe as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.
The goals picture was genuinely open: 51% for over 2.5, 48% on both teams scoring. The market went further still — the BTTS-no price closed at 1.72, about 58%.
By the numbers, possession split 55% to 45% in Fenerbahçe's favour, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 1.44 to 0.99.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fenerbahçe had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.17 a game for Fenerbahçe against 0.50 for Samsunspor.
Fenerbahçe vs Samsunspor Result & Final Score
Fenerbahçe 3 - 2 Samsunspor in the Turkey - Super League on 08/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Fenerbahçe vs Samsunspor Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Fenerbahçe win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Fenerbahçe 69%, draw 19%, Samsunspor 12%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fenerbahçe), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.